Let $$p, q, r$$ and $$s$$ be four primitive statements. Consider the following arguments:

$$P:\left[ {\left( {\neg p \vee q} \right) \wedge \left( {r \to s} \right) \wedge \left( {p \vee r} \right)} \right] \to \left( {\neg s \to q} \right)$$
$$Q:\left[ {\left( {\neg p \wedge q} \right) \wedge \left[ {q \to \left( {p \to r} \right)} \right]} \right] \to \neg r$$
$$R:\left[ {\left[ {\left( {q \wedge r} \right) \to p} \right] \wedge \left( {\neg q \vee p} \right)} \right] \to r$$
$$S:\left[ {p \wedge \left( {p \to r} \right) \wedge \left( {q \vee \neg r} \right)} \right] \to q$$

Which of the above arguments are valid?

In a population of N families, 50% of the families have three children, 30% of the families have two children and the remaining families have one child. What is the probability that a randomly picked child belongs to a family with two children ?

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